Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 102.040087 117.335243 135.407212 158.691521 188.441045 2.259768e+02 2.782973e+02
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 89.356893 110.680321 139.033206 181.122957 245.265680 3.459400e+02 5.331619e+02
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 76.681442 98.836178 130.284741 181.064979 267.796954 4.271932e+02 8.057307e+02
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 67.534912 89.518880 122.226303 178.484038 283.721432 5.055582e+02 1.178997e+03
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 60.536423 81.970274 115.039092 174.868180 295.671649 5.840004e+02 1.716505e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 55.708014 76.897826 110.695731 174.829188 314.443735 6.945643e+02 2.757669e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 51.868572 72.810617 107.209636 175.370857 334.714016 8.310524e+02 4.885335e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 47.483279 67.339910 100.550668 168.169701 333.731862 8.998773e+02 7.486537e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 45.712702 65.926103 100.760942 175.025745 372.254658 1.177306e+03 2.583859e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 42.527124 61.825705 95.567482 169.148770 372.826986 1.289499e+03 7.031033e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 40.640180 59.759882 93.886951 170.801247 397.348168 1.590925e+03 4.987511e+07
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 38.448104 56.976207 90.518431 167.867674 406.077438 1.824691e+03 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 37.676638 56.878179 92.849105 180.642511 484.111607 3.086473e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 38.009873 58.845406 99.766441 208.140638 657.028280 9.129885e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 36.062996 56.366762 96.973907 208.062601 705.228135 1.596481e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 34.118120 53.712131 93.443663 204.894012 735.701979 2.800590e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 32.294717 51.139824 89.785552 200.462239 756.426942 5.253161e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 30.929128 49.345537 87.663667 200.414500 809.140973 2.104515e+05 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 29.730860 47.783045 85.883977 201.077792 871.652930 2.812089e+08 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 28.099945 45.251210 81.590854 192.276735 850.391168 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 27.537997 44.814130 82.181460 200.655167 994.288998 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 26.216884 42.753436 78.669106 193.471157 982.165419 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 25.449403 41.773440 77.689346 195.488661 1074.265359 NaN NaN